基于ISSA-SVR模型的管道腐蚀速率预测

    Pipeline Corrosion Rate Prediction Based on SSA-SVR Model

    • 摘要: 为准确预测油气管道的腐蚀速率,建立了一种基于改进的麻雀搜索算法(ISSA)优化支持向量回归(SVR)的预测模型。对传统麻雀搜索算法(SSA)的各种麻雀的位置更新公式进行调整,得到了ISSA,通过对比改进前后两种算法的迭代结果发现ISSA的收敛速度得到大幅提升。随后通过改进的麻雀搜索算法优化SVR模型的惩罚因子和核参数,提高模型的预测精度和泛化能力。采用南海油田管道的50组管道腐蚀数据对ISSA-SVR模型的预测性能进行验证。结果表明:与未经优化的SVR模型相比,ISSA-SVR模型的预测结果误差小、相关程度高,表明ISSA-SVR预测模型可为油气管道的腐蚀速率评估提供准确的数据支撑。

       

      Abstract: In order to accurately predict the corrosion rate of oil and gas pipelines, a prediction model based on the improved Sparrow Search Algorithm(ISSA) optimized by Support Vector Regression(SVR) was established. Firstly, ISSA was obtained by adjusting the position update formulas of various sparrows of the traditional sparrow search algorithm(SSA).By comparing the iterative results of the two algorithms before and after the improvement, it is found that the convergence speed of ISSA has been greatly improved. Then, the penalty factor and kernel parameters of the SVR model are optimized through the ISSA to improve the prediction accuracy and generalization ability of the model. The prediction performance of the ISSA-SVR model is verified by using 50 sets of pipeline corrosion data of the South China Sea oilfield pipeline. The results show that compared with the unoptimized SVR model, the prediction results of the ISSA-SVR model manifest less error and higher correlation, which indicate that the ISSA-SVR prediction model can provide accurate data support for the corrosion rate assessment of oil and gas pipelines.

       

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